Discussion Papers
Selectivity in intra-European migration intentions
Selectivity in intra-European migration intentions
Authors:
Sandu, D.
Published: August 2024
Keywords:
migration selectivity, potential migration, European Union
JEL classification:
migration sociology
Abstract:
Migration intentions are an approximation of future migration behaviours. How can we reach, at the level of the European Union, approximations of intra-European emigration? We could be all the closer to this target if we manage to have a better identification of the "net" country selectivity patterns, keeping under control the role of other factors that contribute to country selectivity about migration between European Union countries. This is the target we have set ourselves, using data from Special Eurobarometer 528, conducted in 2022. After running, country by country, the same multiple regression model, we grouped countries with similar models of predicting potential emigration. Of course, the specification of the regression models was dependent on the data available in that international survey. To test the validity of the working model, we used multiple analyses (cluster, regression, sensitivity). The results indicate nine clusters of European countries with similar patterns of selectivity in determining potential intra-European migration. One of the solid guarantees of the validity of the analysis we propose is the proximity of the countries that are included in the same grouping.
