A new open-access article co-authored by CELSI Scientific Director Martin Kahanec has been published in Applied Economics, a leading peer-reviewed journal covering empirical and theoretical economics.

A new open-access article co-authored by CELSI Scientific Director Martin Kahanec has been published in Applied Economics, a leading peer-reviewed journal covering empirical and theoretical economics.

The article, titled "Structural State Dependence in Swedish Social Assistance during the 1990s Economic Crisis", is authored by Daniela Andrén (Örebro University School of Business), Thomas Andrén (Sveriges Akademikers Centralorganisation, Stockholm), and Martin Kahanec (CELSI).

The study examines how receipt of social assistance in Sweden during the severe economic crisis of the 1990s persisted over time — and whether this persistence reflects genuine behavioural lock-in or mechanical changes in household eligibility.

Using rich register-based panel data and dynamic discrete-choice models, the authors uncover striking variation by gender, country of birth, and partnership composition.

A key finding: structural state dependence is highest among Swedish-born single individuals, particularly men — a result that challenges common assumptions in welfare dependency research.

The findings carry important implications for contemporary integration policy and household economic mobility.

🔓 The article is available open access in Applied Economics: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00036846.2026.2648789#d1e2026

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